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21st translation contest: "The tides of tech" » English to Uzbek

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Source text in English

Boom times are back in Silicon Valley. Office parks along Highway 101 are once again adorned with the insignia of hopeful start-ups. Rents are soaring, as is the demand for fancy vacation homes in resort towns like Lake Tahoe, a sign of fortunes being amassed. The Bay Area was the birthplace of the semiconductor industry and the computer and internet companies that have grown up in its wake. Its wizards provided many of the marvels that make the world feel futuristic, from touch-screen phones to the instantaneous searching of great libraries to the power to pilot a drone thousands of miles away. The revival in its business activity since 2010 suggests progress is motoring on.

So it may come as a surprise that some in Silicon Valley think the place is stagnant, and that the rate of innovation has been slackening for decades. Peter Thiel, a founder of PayPal, and the first outside investor in Facebook, says that innovation in America is “somewhere between dire straits and dead”. Engineers in all sorts of areas share similar feelings of disappointment. And a small but growing group of economists reckon the economic impact of the innovations of today may pale in comparison with those of the past.

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Across the board, innovations fueled by cheap processing power are taking off. Computers are beginning to understand natural language. People are controlling video games through body movement alone—a technology that may soon find application in much of the business world. Three-dimensional printing is capable of churning out an increasingly complex array of objects, and may soon move on to human tissues and other organic material.

An innovation pessimist could dismiss this as “jam tomorrow”. But the idea that technology-led growth must either continue unabated or steadily decline, rather than ebbing and flowing, is at odds with history. Chad Syverson of the University of Chicago points out that productivity growth during the age of electrification was lumpy. Growth was slow during a period of important electrical innovations in the late 19th and early 20th centuries; then it surged.

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Silikon vodiysiga bum davri yana qaytdi. 101-magistral boʻyidagi ofis parklari yana bir bor umidvor startaplarning xos ramzlari bilan bezatilgan. Taho kabi kurort shaharchalardagi hashamatli dala hovlilariga talab oshgani sayin ijara narxlari oʻsib bormoqda, bu esa ushbu hududda boylikning toʻplanishi nishonasidir. Ushbu koʻrfaz hududi yarimoʻtkazgichlar sanoatining hamda keyinchalik paydo boʻlgan kompyuter va internet kompaniyalarining vatani hisoblanadi. Uning sehrgarlari, sensorli ekranli telefonlardan tortib, ulkan kutubxonalarni bir lahzada qidirishga hamda minglab chaqirim masofadagi dronlarni boshqarishga qodir butun dunyoni ertaklardagidek his qildiradigan koʻplab ajoyibotlarni taqdim etdilar.

Shuning uchun, Silikon vodiysidagi baʼzi odamlarning bu joy turgʻun va innovatsiyalar darajasi oʻnlab yillar davomida pasayib boryapti, deb hisoblashlari kishini ajablantirishi mumkin. PayPal asoschisi va Facebookʼning birinchi tashqi investori Piter Tilning aytishicha, Amerikada innovatsiya “jar yoqasida” turibdi. Barcha sohalardagi muhandislar xuddi shunday umidsizlikni his qilishmoqda. Kichik, lekin miqyosi oʻsib borayotgan bir guruh iqtisodchilar, bugungi innovatsiyalarning iqtisodiy taʼsiri avvalgilariga qaraganda pasayishi mumkin deb hisoblashadi.

[ … ]

Barcha jabhada arzon qayta ishlash quvvatiga asoslangan innovatsiyalar boshlanmoqda. Kompyuterlar inson tilini tushuna boshladilar. Odamlar video oʻyinlarni faqat tana harakati orqali boshqarmoqdalar – bu tez orada aksariyat biznes olamida amaliy oʻrnini topishi mumkin boʻlgan texnologiyadir. Uch oʻlchovli chop etish texnologiyasi tobora murakkabroq obyektlarni yaratishga qodir boʻlib bormoqda va yaqinda bu soha inson toʻqimalari hamda boshqa organik materiallarni ishlab chiqarishga oʻtishi mumkin.

Innovatsiyalarga pessimistik yondashuvchilar buni xomxayol deb hisoblab, rad qilishi mumkin. Ammo texnologiyaga asoslangan oʻsish surʼati “bir koʻtarilib, bir pasayadi” emas, balki “rivojalanishda davom etadi yoki muqarrar pasayadi” degan fikr tarixiy haqiqatlarga ziddir. Chikago universiteti professori Chad Siversonning taʼkidlashicha, elektrlashtirish davrida unumdorlikling oʻsish surʼati sust boʻlgan. XIX asr oxiri – XX asr boshlarida muhim elektrotexnika yangiliklari davrida oʻsish surʼati past boʻlgan, lekin keyinchalik keskin oʻsish kuzatilgan.
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